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The Political Instability-Economic Growth Nexus in Five East African Countries

Korsa Getnet


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<oai_dc:dc xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:oai_dc="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/ http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc.xsd">
  <dc:creator>Korsa Getnet</dc:creator>
  <dc:date>2025-08-29</dc:date>
  <dc:description>This study explores the political instability-economic growth nexus in five East African countries, i.e., Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania, and Uganda for the period 1996–2019. In that, it investigates both the short-run and long-run effects of political instability on economic growth in these countries. It uses a Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (Panel-ARDL) modeling approach for an error-correction model derived from a theoretical growth model. The findings suggest that political instability significantly and negatively affects the economic growth of these countries, both in the short-run and the long-run. The panel granger causality test also indicates a one-way causality from political instability to economic growth. However, there is no reverse causality found in the analysis. The findings imply the need for intensifying efforts to create a stable political environment to harness and sustain the growth momentum in the respective economies considered in this study.</dc:description>
  <dc:identifier>https://zenodo.org/record/17124</dc:identifier>
  <dc:identifier>10.20372/nadre:17124</dc:identifier>
  <dc:identifier>oai:zenodo.org:17124</dc:identifier>
  <dc:relation>doi:10.20372/nadre:17123</dc:relation>
  <dc:relation>url:https://nadre.ethernet.edu.et/communities/ddu-business-economics</dc:relation>
  <dc:relation>url:https://nadre.ethernet.edu.et/communities/zenodo</dc:relation>
  <dc:rights>info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess</dc:rights>
  <dc:rights>http://www.opendefinition.org/licenses/cc-by</dc:rights>
  <dc:subject>Political instability, Economic growth, Panel -ARDL and  East Africa</dc:subject>
  <dc:title>The Political Instability-Economic Growth Nexus in  Five East African Countries</dc:title>
  <dc:type>info:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesis</dc:type>
  <dc:type>publication-thesis</dc:type>
</oai_dc:dc>
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