August 29, 2025 Thesis Open Access

Korsa Getnet

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    <dct:title>The Political Instability-Economic Growth Nexus in Five East African Countries</dct:title>
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    <dcat:keyword>Political instability, Economic growth, Panel -ARDL and East Africa</dcat:keyword>
    <dct:issued rdf:datatype="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#date">2025-08-29</dct:issued>
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    <dct:description>&lt;p&gt;This study explores the political instability-economic growth nexus in five East African countries, i.e., Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania, and Uganda for the period 1996&amp;ndash;2019. In that, it investigates both the short-run and long-run effects of political instability on economic growth in these countries. It uses a Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (Panel-ARDL) modeling approach for an error-correction model derived from a theoretical growth model. The findings suggest that political instability significantly and negatively affects the economic growth of these countries, both in the short-run and the long-run. The panel granger causality test also indicates a one-way causality from political instability to economic growth. However, there is no reverse causality found in the analysis. The findings imply the need for intensifying efforts to create a stable political environment to harness and sustain the growth momentum in the respective economies considered in this study.&lt;/p&gt;</dct:description>
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