ADDIS ABABA LIGHT RAIL TRANSIT INTERNAL TRIP PRODUCTION FORECASTING

This study mainly focuses on the Addis Ababa Light Rail Transit (AALRT) estimation of
residential based person internal trips which unless analyzed can affects the project
justification during the early stage of project installation, transportation planning during
operation stages, identification of markets, service planning, facility assessments and
revenue estimations.
To estimate the trips the required primary and secondary data are collected, the primary
data on locations closest to LRT routes are collected with a direct observation and
interviewing of government officials and the secondary data on socio-economic data,
census data and land use data are collected from various sources such as Central Statistics
Authority, Addis Ababa Transport Authority and Addis Ababa City Plan Institute. The
data gathered are analyzed using the Land Activity Rate or Land Use Method of trip
based model for the base year trip production calculation and Growth Factor Methods for
future trip projection calculations.
the land activity rate is used to determine the total land areas covered by the LRT routes
and the Institute for Transportation Engineers (ITE) standard is used to determine the
trips per hectare produced and finally the growth factor method is used to project the
trips for future times.